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OPINION POLLS

Kyodo News trend survey from Tokyo Shimbun

  • June 3, 2016
  • , Tokyo Shimbun , p. 6
  • Translation

Questions & answers (%)

 

Q1: How interested are you in the upcoming Upper House election?

 

Very interested

22.3

Somewhat interested

46.8

Not very interested

23.1

Not interested at all

7.7

Don’t know (D/K) + No answer (N/A)

0.1

 

Q2: Will you vote for ruling party candidates or opposition party candidates in the single-seat constituency segment of the Upper House election?

 

Ruling party candidates

32.1

Opposition party candidates

19.4

There are no candidates that I want to vote for

8.4

Am still undecided

39.5

D/K + N/A

0.6

 

Q3: (For those who responded “ruling party candidates” or “opposition party candidates” to Q2) Which political party’s candidates will you vote for?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

53.9

Democratic Party (DP or Minshinto)

16.3

Komeito (K or Komeito)

8.2

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

6.8

Initiatives from Osaka (Osaka Ishin no Kai)

1.7

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

1.7

People’s Life Party (PLP or Seikatsunoto)

1.1

Party for Japanese Kokoro (Nihon no Kokoro wo Taisetsu ni Suru To)

0.2

New Renaissance Party (NRP or Shinto Kaikaku)

Other political parties or political groups

0.2

Independents who are unified candidates fielded by the opposition parties

5.5

Other independents

1.0

D/K + N/A

3.4

 

Q4: For which political party or political group or for candidates of which political party or political group will you vote in the proportional representation portion of the Upper House election?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

28.9

Democratic Party (DP or Minshinto)

10.9

Komeito (K or Komeito)

6.3

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

5.3

Initiatives from Osaka (Osaka Ishin no Kai)

2.4

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

1.6

People’s Life Party (PLP or Seikatsunoto)

0.7

Party for Japanese Kokoro (Nihon no Kokoro wo Taisetsu ni Suru To)

0.1

New Renaissance Party (NRP or Shinto Kaikaku)

Other political parties or political groups

0.1

There is no political party that I want to vote for

4.9

Am still undecided

37.3

D/K + N/A

1.5

 

Q5: What will you place the highest priority on in deciding how to vote in the Upper House election?

 

Economic policies, including jobs

33.9

Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP)

1.3

Pension, healthcare, and nursing care insurance systems

30.5

Childrearing and resolution of the decline in the birthrate

11.2

Constitutional amendment

6.3

Permission to exercise the right to collective self-defense

4.4

Reconstruction from natural disaster

3.9

Restart of nuclear power plants

4.1

Other

0.9

D/K + N/A

3.5

 

Q6: Are you in favor or opposed to constitutional amendment under Prime Minister Shinzo Abe?

 

In favor

30.9

Opposed

53.6

D/K + N/A

15.5

 

Q7: What do you think should be done with Abenomics, the Abe administration’s economic policy package, going forward?

 

It should be expanded further

16.3

It should be maintained as is

18.3

It should be revised

46.5

A complete change in direction should be made

11.5

D/K + N/A

7.4

 

Q8: At the Lower House election in 2014, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said he would create an economic climate where the consumption tax would be raised to 10% in April 2017 without fail. He has recently announced, however, that the introduction of the tax hike will be delayed another two and a half years. How do you view this?

 

The administration’s economic policies are a failure

43.1

Economic policies are not a failure

47.5

D/K + N/A

9.4

 

Q9: Is there a political party that you regularly support?

 

Yes

38.2

No

59.0

D/K + N/A

2.8

 

Q10: (For those who responded “yes” to Q9) Which political party do you support?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

58.9

Democratic Party (DP or Minshinto)

15.2

Komeito (K or Komeito)

10.8

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

7.3

Initiatives from Osaka (Osaka Ishin no Kai)

3.1

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

3.0

People’s Life Party (PLP or Seikatsunoto)

0.6

Party for Japanese Kokoro (Nihon no Kokoro wo Taisetsu ni Suru To)

New Renaissance Party (NRP or Shinto Kaikaku)

Other political parties or political groups

0.1

D/K + N/A

1.0

 

Q11: (For those who responded “no” to Q9) You have indicated that there is no political party that you support, but if you had to select a party to support, which political party would it be?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

30.5

Democratic Party (DP or Minshinto)

13.3

Komeito (K or Komeito)

2.5

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

4.5

Initiatives from Osaka (Osaka Ishin no Kai)

3.8

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

1.9

People’s Life Party (PLP or Seikatsunoto)

1.4

Party for Japanese Kokoro (Nihon no Kokoro wo Taisetsu ni Suru To)

New Renaissance Party (NRP or Shinto Kaikaku)

Other political parties or political groups

0.1

There really is no political party that I support

39.8

D/K + N/A

2.2

 

Q12: Do you support the Abe cabinet?

 

Yes

49.4

No

41.3

D/K + N/A

9.3

 

Trend survey on the Upper House election: The survey aims to probe changes in voter awareness regarding the Upper House election at certain intervals during the campaign, including the level of voter interest in the election and trends in public support for political parties. This nationwide public opinion survey is conducted by telephone a total of three times using the same basic questions. The same questions are used, but the respondents are different with each survey.

 

Polling methodology: The survey was conducted by telephone on a computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis. Because the voting age will be lowered to 18 from the July Upper House election, 18- and 19-year-olds were included in the sample. The 1st trend survey was conducted on June 1–2 targeting voters across the nation. However, the survey excluded some areas in Fukushima Prefecture. Among randomly generated telephone numbers, those actually for household use with one or more eligible voters totaled 1,751. Responses were obtained from 1,214 persons.

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