When 18- and 19-year-olds were asked whether they intended to vote in the next election, 80% said that they would, with 32% saying they would “definitely vote” and 48% saying they would “probably vote.” Meanwhile 13% said that they would “probably not vote” and 4% said they would “not vote.”
Some 46% of pollees who voted in the recent Upper House election said they would “definitely vote” in the next election. In contrast, 40% of those who did not vote in the recent election took a backward-looking stance, with 31% saying they would “probably not vote” and 10% indicating they would “not vote” in the next election.
[Polling methodology: The survey was implemented on a mail-in basis of the 2,000 men and women aged 18 or 19 (as of April 30, 2016) who were randomly selected nationwide from the basic register of residents (from 250 locations on a stratified two-stage random-sampling basis) for the pre-Upper House election poll conducted March through May 2016 and to whom questionnaires for that pre-Upper House election poll were sent. (Some [Five] pollees responded to the post-Upper House election poll only.) Written questionnaires for the post-election poll were sent out on July 11, and a total of 908 questionnaires were completed and sent back by August 12. Valid answers were received from 893 persons (valid response rate: 45%), excluding answer sheets filled out by those not subject to the survey. Composition of respondents: male – 47%; female – 53%.]