[To probe the situation in the early stages of official campaigning for the 48th House of Representatives election, Kyodo News conducted a telephone survey targeting about 118,900 voters nationwide on Oct. 10–11.] Some 16.2% of independents said they will vote for the Liberal Democratic Party in the proportional representation segment of the Lower House election, according to the poll. Some 10.4% said they will back the Party of Hope while 8.0% will support the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ). The situation of the Lower House election remains fluid, however, as 55.1% of independents – who make up 31.3% of all pollees – say they have not yet decided how they will vote.
Independents reported support for other parties in the proportional representation segment of the Lower House election as follows: Japanese Communist Party (JCP), 3.5%; Komeito, 2.9%; and Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party), 2.7%. Support for other parties was under 1%.
It was also clear that the political parties are firming up backing among their supporters. Some 81.8% of LDP supporters and 87.9% of Party of Hope supporters said that they will vote for the party they support in the proportional representation bloc of the Lower House election. Some 87.4% of Komeito supporters, 83.7% of JCP supporters, 87.3% of CDPJ supporters, and 73.3% of Nippon Ishin supporters said they will back their party.
The LDP received the most backers regardless of age group from teens through age 70 or over, with some 40.4% of those in their twenties selecting the LDP. Support for the Party of Hope was in the 10% range across all age groups.
By gender, 36.6% of men and 30.8% of women said they will cast their ballot for the LDP in the proportional representation segment. Some 13.7% of men and 11.8% of women said they will back the Party of Hope while 10.3% of men and 8.0% of women said they will vote for the CDPJ.