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OPINION POLLS

30% planning to vote for LDP in Oct. 22 election, Jiji Press poll

In the October 2017 public opinion poll conducted by Jiji Press on Oct. 6–9, public support for Abe’s cabinet stood below disapproval for the first time since the August poll, as the support rate dropped 4.7 percentage points from the previous month to 37.1% and nonsupport rose by 5.1 points to 41.8%. Meanwhile, 30.7% of voters said they are planning to vote for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in the proportional representation blocs of the Oct. 22 House of Representatives election. Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike’s Party of Hope came second with support from 11.8%.

 

The results are believed to reflect the impact of Koike’s vague position: She is not running in the Lower House election herself and has not announced who the party will nominate as prime minister [if it were to win]. The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ) has entered the fray, and there is the possibility that voters’ sentiment may change.

 

After the LDP and Koike’s party came Komeito, the LDP’s coalition partner, with support from 5.9%. It was followed by the Japanese Communist Party with 4.5%, the CDPJ with 4.4%, Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) with 3.1% and the Social Democratic Party with 1.2%. Meanwhile, 33.8% said they have not decided which party they will vote for.

 

Some 61.7% of pollees said that they would “definitely vote” in the Lower House election while 26.6% said they would “probably vote,” 5.7% said they would “probably not vote,” and 3.5% saying they would “not vote.”

 

When asked why they support the cabinet (multiple responses permitted), the responses were as follows: “there is no other appropriate person,” 15.1%; “the prime minister shows strong leadership,” 9.5%; “the prime minister is trustworthy,” 9.1%. When asked why they do not support the cabinet (multiple responses permitted), the responses were as follows: “the prime minister is not trustworthy,” 26.0%; “nothing can be expected of the prime minister,” 17.6%; “bad policies,” 12.9%.

 

The political party support rates were as follows: LDP, 23.9%, up 0.2 points from the previous month; Komeito, 3.6%; CDPJ, 2.7%; Party of Hope, 2.6%; JCP, 2.5%; Nippon Ishin, 1.4%. Those not supporting any political party was 57.2%, down 5.7 points.

 

The survey was conducted on Oct. 6–9 through individual interviews. For the survey, a total of 2,000 people were sampled from among men and women, aged 18 and over, across the nation. The valid response rate was 65.1%.

 

Trend in public support for political parties (%)

 

October 2017

September 2017

August     2017

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

23.9

23.7

25.7

Democratic Party (DP or Minshinto)

1.6

4.3

3.2

Komeito (Komeito)

3.6

4.9

2.5

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

2.5

1.3

2.3

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

1.4

1.0

0.8

Party of Hope (Kibo no To)

2.6

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (Rikken Minshuto)

2.7

Liberal Party (Jiyuto)

0.0

0.0

0.2

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

0.2

0.1

0.8

Party for Japanese Kokoro (Nihon no Kokoro)

0.1

0.0

0.0

None

57.2

62.9

62.2

 

 

 

 

 

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