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37% approve of Abe continuing for third term as LDP president, Mainichi poll

  • January 22, 2018
  • , Mainichi , p. 3
  • JMH Translation

The nationwide survey conducted by Mainichi Shimbun on Jan. 20–21 asked pollees for their views on the Liberal Democratic Party presidential election slated for September this year. Some 37% of pollees said that “it would be good if Prime Minister Shinzo Abe served a third term as LDP president,” falling below the 47% who thought “it would be good if he were replaced.” Some 69% of LDP supporters said “it would be good if he continued as president.” The Prime Minister plans to announce whether he will run in the summer after the ordinary session of the Diet. At this point, however, he remains dominant.


Those saying that “it would be good if he continued” rose 2 percentage points from the previous poll conducted in November last year. Those saying “he should be replaced” declined by 6 points. More than half of independents (55%) said that “it would be good if he were replaced.” Many among opposition party supporters also thought “it would be good if someone else were elected LDP president.”


Some 47% of respondents said that “do not approve” of the Abe administration’s economic policy known as “Abenomics.” Some 36% said they “approve” of Abenomics. Some 46% said they “disapproved” and 43% said they “approved” of Abenomics in the poll taken last January, although a direct comparison cannot be made because the polling methodology was changed, including adding mobile phones.


Some 71% of those who hope that the prime minister continues for a third term as party president said they “approve” of Abenomics. Some 76% of those who would like see Abe replaced as LDP president said they “do not approve” of the economic policies.


At a Lower House Budget Committee meeting at last year’s extraordinary Diet session, the LDP agreed to revise the 20%:80% ratio of interrogation time between the ruling parties and the opposition parties to “36%:64%.” At the ordinary Diet session in January, the LDP is thinking about proposing a reduction in the amount of interrogation time allocated to opposition parties. In the recent survey, pollees were split with 42% saying the “time should be allocated based on the number of Diet seats held” and 40% saying “more time should be allocated to the opposition parties.” Some 54% of respondents in the November 2017 poll said “the opposition parties should be given more time” and 32% said “the time should be allotted based on the number of Diet seats held,” although it should be kept in mind that the question was worded slightly differently in the two polls.


Political party support rates were as follows: LDP, 30%; Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, 14%; Japanese Communist Party, 4%; Komeito, 3%; Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party), 2%; Party of Hope, 2%. Some 37% said they are independents. The Democratic Party had a support rate of 0%, as in the previous poll.


[Polling methodology: The survey was conducted by pollsters over the two-day period of Jan. 20–21, 2018, targeting landline and mobile telephone numbers across the nation on a computer-aided random digit sampling (RDS) basis. The survey excluded landline numbers in municipalities designated as “difficult-to-return” zones due to the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident. Valid responses were received from 479 persons (out of the 800 households with one or more persons age 18 or over) for landline numbers and 524 persons (out of the 888 persons age 18 or over who answered) for mobile numbers. The valid response rates were 60% for landline numbers and 59% for mobile numbers.]

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