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32% say Abe is most appropriate to serve as next LDP president, Yomiuri poll

  • February 12, 2018
  • , Yomiuri , p. 2
  • JMH Translation
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According to the Yomiuri Shimbun’s nationwide public opinion poll conducted on Feb. 10–11, some 32% of respondents said Shinzo Abe is suitable to serve as the next Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) president, making this the most frequent response. Chief Deputy Secretary-General Shinjiro Koizumi was the second most frequently selected at 25%, while former LDP Secretary-General Shigeru Ishiba was the third at 21%.


Over half (57%) of LDP supporters said Abe is most appropriate as the next party president, while 17% favored Koizumi and 16% said Ishiba was best. In contrast, 30% of independents said Koizumi would be best as the next LDP president, making him the most frequent pick, while 24% selected Ishiba and 16% chose Abe. Those not supporting the cabinet were split between Ishiba and Koizumi at 33% and 32%, respectively. Only 2% selected Abe.


By gender, 37% of men thought Abe would be most suitable as the next LDP president, followed by 25% for Ishiba and 21% for Koizumi. Meanwhile, 29% of women selected Koizumi, 28% picked Abe, and 17% chose Ishiba. By age group, some 28% of those in their 60s selected Ishiba, making him the most frequently selected in this age group. Abe was the most frequent response given by all other age groups. Slightly less than 50% of those in the 18-29 age group selected Abe, a higher percentage than among other age groups, where backing for Abe as the next LDP president was in the 20% to 30% range.


[Polling methodology: The nationwide survey was conducted on Feb. 10–11 on a computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis and targeted voters aged 18 or over with calls placed to landline and mobile phone numbers. Valid responses were received from a total of 1,085 persons, including 527 persons (out of the 927 households with one or more eligible voters) for landline numbers and 558 persons (out of the 1,188 persons who answered) for mobile numbers. The valid response rates were 57% for landline numbers and 47% for mobile numbers.]


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