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OPINION POLLS

59% opposed to fourth term for Abe as LDP president, Sankei-FNN poll

  • March 19, 2019
  • , Sankei , p. 1
  • JMH Translation

In the [nationwide] public opinion poll conducted jointly by the Sankei Shimbun and Fuji News Network (FNN) on March 16–17, respondents were asked for their views on the idea that has emerged within the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to serve a fourth consecutive term as party president. Some 59.3% said that they are “opposed” to Abe continuing after his third term ends in September 2021, while 31.1% said they are “in favor.”

 

Asked, however, if they could name a current Diet member who they think would be appropriate as prime minister and would be able to outperform Prime Minister Abe, 21.3% said they could name such a person while 68.4% said they could not.

 

Pollees were evenly split on their views on the Abe cabinet. The support rate was 42.7%, down by 1.2 percentage points from the previous poll conducted on Feb. 16–17, and the nonsupport rate was 42.8%, down 0.1 points.

 

Some 55.9% of respondents said that it “would be better” to prohibit by law the physical punishment by parents of their children, while 31.3% said it “would not be better.” Pollees saying that “it is possible” to draw a clear line between “abuse” and “discipline” narrowly exceeded those who said it is not, 45.5% to 44.9%.

 

A plurality of 60.1% described the Heisei era as “good.” Some 66.7% of respondents said that they are “hopeful” that the next era will be better than Heisei. Some 53.5% are “opposed” to increasing the consumption tax from 8% to 10% in October, exceeding the 41.0% who are “in favor.” A plurality of 43.5% of pollees said that they support Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike, who has expressed interest in running for reelection in next summer’s Tokyo gubernatorial race. Some 36.2% said that they do not support her.

 

The support rates for major political parties were as follows: LDP, 34.0%; Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, 9.6%; Democratic Party for the People, 0.9%; Komeito, 4.6%; Japanese Communist Party; 3.4%; Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party), 2.8%.

 

[Polling methodology: The survey was conducted until the calculated number of responses was obtained by placing telephone calls on a random digit dialing (RDD) basis adjusted to the gender and age composition of each survey area. A total of 1,000 men and women, aged 18 and over, across the nation were surveyed. The survey was conducted on Mar. 16–17, 2019.]

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