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75% are “concerned” about negative impact of consumption tax hike on economy, Asahi poll

In the nationwide (telephone-based) poll conducted on May 18–19 by the Asahi Shimbun, a total of 75% of respondents said they are either “very concerned” or “somewhat concerned” about the consumption tax hike having a negative impact on the economy, considerably higher than the 22% who said they either are “not at all concerned” or are “not very concerned” about it. Some 54% of respondents said they are “opposed” to raising the consumption tax to 10% in October (previous poll conducted in April: 55%), while 39% said they are “in favor” (35%).


Asked if they have a tangible sense that the economy is deteriorating, some 49% said they do, exceeding the 40% who said they do not. Some 57% of those in their 60s said they have the sense the economy is deteriorating. Cabinet nonsupporters vastly outdistanced cabinet supporters in their sense the economy is deteriorating, 70% to 38%.


A total of 31% of those who have a sense that the economy is deteriorating said they are in favor of the consumption tax hike, while 64% said they are opposed to a higher tax rate. Among those who said they do not have a sense of economic downturn, 51% said they are in favor of raising the tax rate while 43% said they are opposed.


Asked if Lower House member Hotaka Maruyama should resign over his reference to war in relation to the return of the Northern Territories, 69% said that he should resign, easily exceeding the 19% who said that his resignation is not necessary. By age group, 80% of those in their 50s through 70s said that he should resign, while 49% of those age 18 to 29 gave that response.


The Abe cabinet support rate was 45%, essentially unchanged from the 44% found in the previous poll conducted in April. The nonsupport rate was 32% (previous poll: 32%).


[Polling methodology: The survey was conducted on May 18–19, 2019, on a computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis of voters nationwide with telephone calls placed by pollsters to landline and mobile phone numbers. Valid responses were received from a total of 1,906 persons, including 910 persons (out of 1,945 households found to have one or more eligible voters) for landline numbers and 996 persons (out of the 2,226 persons found to be eligible voters) for mobile numbers. The valid response rates were 47% for landline numbers and 45% for mobile numbers.] 

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