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Polls show ruling parties set to win Upper House election

  • July 15, 2019
  • , Asahi, Mainichi, Yomiuri, Nikkei , TV Asahi
  • JMH Summary
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All national dailies except Sankei reported on Monday on the results of their polls on voter behavior conducted over the weekend. Yomiuri’s poll on July 12-14 combined with data collected by its regional bureaus showed that the ruling LDP and Komeito are expected to win more than half of the 124 seats being contested. The cabinet support rate in this poll was 45%, similar to the 46% recorded during the last Upper House election in 2016, while the disapproval rate was 38% compared with 36% last time. Asahi’s poll on July 13-14 revealed that 35% of respondents said they will vote for the LDP in the proportional representation segment of the election, down from 40% in a poll in June, while the CPDJ had the support of 12%, down from 13%, and Komeito, the Japanese Communist Party, and Nippon Ishin [Japan Innovation Party] each got 6% support. The cabinet support rate in this poll was 42%, down from 45% last month, while the disapproval rate was 34%, up from 33%. Mainichi’s poll on July 13-14 showed that the LDP is on track to win 51 seats and Komeito, 10 seats, slightly down from a previous poll on July 4-5, but the two parties are forecast to win more than 63 seats. Findings of a Nikkei poll on July 12-14 combined with data gathered by its reporters showed that the LDP is projected to win 53-68 seats; Komeito, 10-15 seats; and the CDPJ, 15-24 seats. The cabinet support rate in this poll was 49%, down from 56% marked in a poll in late June, while the disapproval rate was 35%, down from 36%.Asahi’s poll also showed 56% supported the government’s export curbs on the ROK while 21% disapproved.

 

TV Asahi reported on Monday the results of an ANN opinion poll conducted during the weekend of July 13-14 showing that the cabinet support rate was 45.5%, up by 2.8 points from a previous poll in June, while the disapproval rate was 34.0%, down by 4.2 points. The poll also showed that 40% of respondents were in favor of pro-constitution revision forces winning a two-thirds majority in the Upper House, 37% were against their winning a super majority, and 23% had no opinion. On revising Article 9 of the Constitution, 33% were in favor while 59% were against, with 8% expressing no opinion.

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