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OPINION POLLS

Kyodo News second trend survey from Tokyo Shimbun

Questions & answers (%)

(Figures in parentheses are the results of the last trend survey conducted June 26–27.)

 

Q1: How interested are you in the upcoming Upper House election?

 

Very interested

19.2

(13.6)

Somewhat interested

44.8

(46.1)

Not very interested

27.9

(30.5)

Not interested at all

7.8

(9.5)

Don’t know (D/K) + No answer (N/A)

0.3

(0.3)

 

Q2: Voters will cast two ballots in Upper House elections — one to choose single-seat constituency representatives and one under proportional representation. Will you vote for ruling party candidates or opposition party candidates in the single-seat constituency segment of the Upper House election?

 

Ruling party candidates

32.2

(31.3)

Opposition party candidates

21.8

(20.3)

There are no candidates that I want to vote for

7.4

(7.9)

Am still undecided

36.4

(39.0)

D/K + N/A

2.2

(1.5)

 

Q3: For which political party or political group or for candidates of which political party or political group will you vote in the proportional representation portion of the Upper House election?

 

Liberal Democratic Party (LDP or Jiminto)

31.0

(28.8)

Komeito (Komeito)

5.6

(5.6)

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

7.2

(9.0)

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

2.5

(1.6)

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

2.9

(3.4)

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

4.4

(3.2)

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

0.8

(1.2)

Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi)

1.1

 

Other political parties or political groups

0.3

(0.2)

There is no political party that I want to vote for

4.7

(6.9)

Am still undecided

37.4

(39.2)

D/K + N/A

2.1

(0.9)

 

Q4: The Financial System Council of the Financial Services Agency compiled a report estimating that an average retired couple will not be able to cover their expenses with only public pension benefits if they live to be 95 years old but will need savings of 20 million yen. Do you think financial concerns in old age will be a point of contention in the Upper House election?

 

Yes

46.1

(50.1)

No

46.9

(43.0)

D/K + N/A

7.0

(6.9)

 

Q5: Do you think the Abe administration’s economic policy package known as “Abenomics” should be continued as it is or do you think it should be reviewed?

 

It should be continued as is

29.1

(26.7)

It should be reviewed

62.0

(64.1)

D/K + N/A

8.9

(9.2)

 

Q6: Prime Minister Shinzo Abe plans to raise the consumption tax rate from the current 8% to 10% in October. Are you in favor of or opposed to this policy?

 

In favor

40.8

(44.7)

Opposed

54.3

(51.1)

D/K + N/A

4.9

(4.2)

 

 Q7: Are you in favor of or opposed to constitutional amendment under Prime Minister Abe?

 

In favor

34.2

(35.0)

Opposed

51.4

(50.1)

D/K + N/A

14.4

(14.9)

 

Q8: Do you approve of the Prime Minister Abe’s foreign policy?

 

Yes

59.8

(52.3)

No

31.2

(38.4)

D/K + N/A

9.0

(9.3)

 

Q9: Do you support the Abe cabinet?

 

Yes

46.5

(47.6)

No

40.3

(44.1)

D/K + N/A

13.2

(8.3)

 

Q10: Which political party do you support?

 

Liberal Democratic Party (LDP or Jiminto)

40.4

(37.9)

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

7.7

(9.9)

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

2.3

(2.7)

Komeito (Komeito)

4.9

(5.1)

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

3.0

(2.9)

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

4.4

(3.7)

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

1.0

(1.5)

Other political parties or political groups

1.4

(0.1)

None of the above (NOTA)

30.5

(32.7)

D/K + N/A

4.4

(3.5)

 

Trend survey on the Upper House election: The survey aims to probe changes in voter awareness regarding the Upper House election at certain intervals during the campaign, including the level of voter interest in the election and trends in public support for political parties. This nationwide public opinion survey is conducted by telephone a total of three times using the same basic questions. The same questions are used, but the respondents are different with each survey.

 

Polling methodology: The survey was conducted by telephone on a computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis. The second trend survey was conducted on July 12–13 targeting voters across the nation. However, the survey excluded landline numbers in some areas of Fukushima Prefecture. The survey covered 890 randomly selected households with eligible voters nationwide [by landline phone], with responses collected from 613 people. A total of 1,469 people were accessed through their mobile phones, of which 616 responded.

 

[The first trend survey was conducted on June 26–27 targeting voters across the nation. However, the survey excluded landline numbers in some areas of Fukushima Prefecture. The survey covered 889 randomly selected households with eligible voters nationwide [by landline phone], with responses collected from 611 people. A total of 1,472 people were accessed through their mobile phones, of which 618 responded.]

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