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OPINION POLLS

Yomiuri-Waseda Univ. opinion poll & results from Yomiuri Shimbun

  • August 31, 2019
  • , Yomiuri , p. 14
  • JMH Translation

Main questions & answers

Questionnaire is slightly abridged.

 

Q: Do you support the Abe cabinet?

 

Yes

52%

No

37

Other answers (O/A)

6

No answer (N/A)

4

 

Q: It has been about six and a half years since the second Abe cabinet was launched. On a scale of 0 to 10 where 10 is “good,” 5 is “neither good nor bad,” and 0 is “bad,” how would you assess the second Abe cabinet’s performance over that time? Select the number closest to your evaluation.

 

10 (Good)

2%

9

2

8

10

7

13

6

14

5 (Neither good nor bad)

30

4

11

3

10

2

4

1

2

0 (Bad)

2

N/A

 1

Average: 5.2

 

 

Q: In which of the following policy areas do you feel the Abe cabinet has performed well? Select as many responses as you would like.

 

Economy and jobs

26%

Social security, including healthcare, pensions, and nursing care

11

Fiscal reconstruction

6

Diplomacy

39

Security

17

Energy policy, including nuclear power plants

4

Constitutional amendment

8

TPP and other trade negotiations with foreign countries

16

Disaster reconstruction and disaster mitigation measures

22

Counter-terrorism and public safety measures

10

Measures to address the decline in the birthrate and to support childrearing

16

Education

7

Working style reform

23

Environmental issues

5

Preparations for the Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games

28

Elimination of poverty and economic disparity

3

Revitalization of regional areas

4

O/A

0

None in particular

19

N/A

1

 

Q: In which of the following policy areas do you feel the Abe cabinet has not performed well? Select as many responses as you would like.

 

Economy and jobs

34%

Social security, including healthcare, pensions, and nursing care

50

Fiscal reconstruction

26

Diplomacy

17

Security

10

Energy policy, including nuclear power plants

28

Constitutional amendment

24

TPP and other trade negotiations with foreign countries

11

Disaster reconstruction and disaster mitigation measures

13

Counter-terrorism and public safety measures

7

Measures to address the decline in the birthrate and to support childrearing

29

Education

15

Working style reform

28

Environmental issues

10

Preparations for the Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games

7

Elimination of poverty and economic disparity

42

Revitalization of regional areas

29

O/A

2

None in particular

8

N/A

3

 

Q: Which political party do you support now?

 

Liberal Democratic Party (LDP or Jiminto)

36%

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

10

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

1

Komeito (Komeito)

5

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

3

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

5

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

 1

Other political party*

1

None of the above

37

N/A

1

* Breakdown of “Other political party”: Party to Protect the People from NHK (NHK kara Kokumin wo Mamoru To), 0%; Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi), 1%.

 

Q: Are you interested in current domestic politics?

 

Interested

21%

Somewhat interested

50

Not very interested

23

Not interested

5

N/A

1

 

Q: Are you satisfied with the state of domestic politics today?

 

Satisfied

1

Somewhat satisfied

31

Not very satisfied

46

Not satisfied

20

N/A

2

 

Q: Do you agree or disagree with the following three views on politics? Select one response to each.

 

“It is because there are political parties that the voice of the people is reflected in politics.”

Agree

15%

Generally agree

62

Generally disagree

18

Disagree

3

N/A

2

 

“It is because there are elections that the voice of the people is reflected in politics.”

Agree

32%

Generally agree

54

Generally disagree

10

Disagree

2

N/A

1

 

“It is because there is the Diet that the voice of the people is reflected in politics.”

Agree

20%

Generally agree

56

Generally disagree

19

Disagree

4

N/A

2

 

Q: Do you think it is best if the government changes hands from time to time and the ruling party becomes the opposition party and vice versa?

 

Yes

60%

No

38

N/A

2

 

Q: Do you think the government will change hands in the near future and the ruling party will become the opposition party?

 

Yes

18%

No

80

N/A

2

 

Q: Did you vote in the recent Upper House election?

 

Yes

70%

No

30

N/A

0

 

Q: Do you agree or disagree with the following nine views? Select one response to each.

 

“The participation of women in society should be promoted by setting numerical targets, such as the percentage of women in managerial positions.”

Agree

24%

Generally agree

52

Generally disagree

18

Disagree

4

N/A

1

 

“Foreigners should be actively accepted in Japan as part of the workforce.”

Agree

10%

Generally agree

44

Generally disagree

37

Disagree

8

N/A

1

 

 “Same-sex marriage should be recognized by law.”

Agree

18%

Generally agree

41

Generally disagree

27

Disagree

12

N/A

2

 

“It is better for the tax burden on the people to be small even if that means that social security and other administrative services are somewhat limited.”

Agree

13%

Generally agree

34

Generally disagree

42

Disagree

10

N/A

1

 

“As an economic countermeasure, government spending should actively be increased even if the budget deficit increases [as a result].”

Agree

6%

Generally agree

37

Generally disagree

44

Disagree

10

N/A

3

 

 “Individual nation’s interests should be given priority over international coordination.”

Agree

11%

Generally agree

46

Generally disagree

34

Disagree

6

N/A

3

 

 “Japan’s defense capabilities should be enhanced further.”

Agree

18%

Generally agree

43

Generally disagree

30

Disagree

8

N/A

2

 

“An addition should be made to Article 9 of the Constitution to explicitly state the existence of the Self-Defense Forces, without altering the current provisions which state that Japan renounces war and will never again maintain war potential.”

Agree

21%

Generally agree

48

Generally disagree

18

Disagree

10

N/A

3

 

“Nuclear power plants that meet the regulatory criteria should be restarted.”

Agree

10%

Generally agree

31

Generally disagree

32

Disagree

24

N/A

2

 

Q: Are you optimistic that the Japanese economy will improve under the Abe cabinet?

 

Yes

30%

No

65

N/A

5

 

Q: Rate the following six political parties, using “temperature” to indicate how fondly you view them, with 100 being “view warmly,” 0 being “view coldly,” and 50 being “view neither warmly nor coldly.”

 

 

Sept-Oct. 2018 poll

July-Aug. 2019 poll

Liberal Democratic Party (LDP or Jiminto)

52.5

53.4

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

35.7

38.5

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

27.0

30.8

Komeito (Komeito)

30.6

29.9

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

25.4

21.2

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

29.9

36.5

 

Q: Rate the following politicians, using “temperature” to indicate how fondly you view them, with 100 being “view warmly,” 0 being “view coldly,” and 50 being “view neither warmly nor coldly.”

 

 

Overall

average

LDP Supporters

Independents

1. Shinjiro Koizumi

56.2

60.6

52.6

2. Shinzo Abe

50.3

69.8

38.6

3. Shigeru Ishiba

44.3

47.6

41.7

4. Yoshihide Suga

42.6

53.1

36.1

5. Yukio Edano

38.2

28.1

39.2

6. Fumio Kishida

35.3

40.5

32.1

7. Ichiro Matsui

34.0

35.1

31.7

 

Polling methodology: The survey was implemented on a mail-in basis, with a total of 3,000 persons chosen from among all eligible voters throughout the country (at 250 locations on a stratified two-stage random-sampling basis). The questionnaire was sent out on July 22 to those chosen for the survey and was sent back from 1,994 persons by Aug. 26. Valid answers were obtained from 1,935 persons (65%), excluding answers from those not subject to the survey.

 

Breakdown of respondents:

By gender: Male, 47%; female, 53%. By age group: Age 18–29, 11%; 30s, 12%; 40s, 18%; 50s, 18%; 60s, 18%, 70 and over, 22%.

 

Figures rounded off. The total percentage of numerical values in graphs and tables may not add up to 100%.

 

“0” indicates that the figure was below 0.5%. (Abridged)

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