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OPINION POLLS

Opinion poll & results from Mainichi Shimbun

  • January 20, 2020
  • , Mainichi , p. 2
  • JMH Translation

Questions & answers (%)

(T = total; P = previous; M = male; F = female)

 

Q: Do you support the Abe cabinet?

 

 

T

P

M

F

Yes

41

(42)

47

33

No

37

(35)

34

40

Not interested

21

(21)

18

25

 

Q: (Only for those who answered “yes” to the above question) Why?

 

 

T

P

M

F

Because the prime minister is from the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan

11

(13)

12

10

Because I think highly of Abe

17

(16)

18

15

Because something can be expected of the prime minister’s policies

18

(13)

23

8

Because there are no other good people or political parties

51

(52)

44

62

 

Q: (Only for those who answered “no” to the above question) Why?

 

 

T

P

M

F

Because the prime minister is from the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan

4

(3)

5

2

Because I don’t think highly of Abe

41

(51)

40

42

Because nothing can be expected of the prime minister’s policies

44

(31)

44

45

Because other people and political parties are better

6

(10)

9

4

 

Q: Which political party do you support?

 

 

T

P

M

F

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

34

(36)

41

27

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

8

(8)

9

7

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

2

(1)

2

2

Komeito (Komeito)

2

(3)

3

2

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

2

(4)

3

2

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

3

(4)

4

3

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

1

(0)

1

0

Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi)

1

(2)

2

0

Party to Protect the People from NHK (NHK kara Kokumin wo Mamoru To)

1

(0)

1

0

Other political groups

1

(0)

0

1

None of the above (NOTA)

40

(35)

35

46

 

Q: Lower House member Tsukasa Akimoto has been arrested on suspicion of receiving a bribe from a Chinese gambling operator aiming to enter the Japanese market for integrated resorts (IR) that will feature casinos. The government intends to promote the IR business as planned. What do you think about the promotion of the IR business?

 

 

T

P

M

F

It should go forward as currently planned

22

 

32

10

The plan for the IRs should be re-examined and the project reconsidered

63

 

61

66

 

Q: The ordinary Diet session starts on Jan. 20. Citing the fact that many affiliated with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s support associations attend the “cherry blossom viewing party” he hosts, the opposition parties are criticizing him for using “official events for private gain.” Do you think this matter should continue to be debated at the Diet?

 

 

T

P

M

F

Debate at the Diet should continue

45

 

45

45

It is not necessary for the debate to be continued

44

 

49

38

 

Q: Former Nissan Motor Chairman Carlos Ghosn, who has been indicted on charges of violating the Companies Act, jumped bail and fled to Lebanon. He has criticized the Japanese judicial system, saying that he “could not receive a fair trial” [in Japan]. Do you think that Ghosn should return to Japan and be tried?

 

 

T

P

M

F

He should return to Japan and be tried

78

 

83

72

His flight from the nation was inevitable

9

 

9

9

 

Q: Tensions are rising in the Middle East after the U.S. military killed an Iranian commander. The Japanese government has dispatched Maritime Self-Defense Force assets to the region as scheduled. Are you in favor of or opposed to the dispatch of the SDF?

 

 

T

P

M

F

In favor

40

 

53

25

Opposed

42

 

37

49

 

Q: This spring, the government plans to invite Chinese leader Xi Jinping to Japan as a state guest. While exchange between the national leaders of Japan and China advances, there is also various kinds of friction between the two countries. What do you think about inviting Xi to Japan as a state guest?

 

 

T

P

M

F

I am in favor of it

54

 

58

50

I am opposed to it

26

 

31

20

 

Q: The terms for the current members of the House of Representatives ends on Oct. 21, 2021, and slightly over a year and a half remains in their terms. What are your views on the timing of the dissolution of the House of Representatives and the holding of a general election?

 

 

T

P

M

F

The Lower House should be dissolved before the Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games

7

 

8

7

The Lower House should be dissolved after the Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games

30

 

32

26

There is no need to dissolve the Lower House prior to the expiration of the members’ terms in autumn next year

45

 

47

43

 

Q: Who do you think would be appropriate to serve as the next prime minister?

 

 

T

P

M

F

Shinzo Abe

13

 

17

8

Shigeru Ishiba

19

 

20

18

Yukio Edano

3

 

3

4

Katsunobu Kato

0

 

1

Fumio Kishida

3

 

3

2

Shinjiro Koizumi

6

 

5

7

Taro Kono

6

 

7

3

Yoshihide Suga

4

 

5

3

Seiko Noda

1

 

1

2

Toshimitsu Motegi

1

 

1

1

None of the above

24

 

24

24

 

Q: The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, the Democratic Party for the People, the Social Democratic Party, and other opposition parties are engaged in ongoing consultations with an eye toward merging. Are you optimistic about the merger of these parties?

 

 

T

P

M

F

Yes  

25

 

26

23

No

40

 

43

36

Not interested

19

 

20

19

 

Q: Prime Minister Abe aims to amend the Constitution during his tenure in office. Are you in favor of or opposed to constitutional amendment under the Abe administration?

 

 

T

P

M

F

Yes

33

 

40

23

No

47

 

46

50

 

(Note) Figures rounded off. “0” indicates that the figure was below 0.5%, and “–” denotes that no respondents gave that answer. “No answer” omitted. Figures in parentheses denote the results of the previous survey conducted Nov. 30–Dec. 1, 2019.

 

Polling methodology: The survey was conducted by pollsters over the two-day period of Jan. 18–19, 2020, targeting landline and mobile telephone numbers across the nation on a computer-aided random digit sampling (RDS) basis. The survey excluded landline numbers in municipalities designated as “difficult-to-return” zones due to the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident. Valid responses were received from 530 persons (out of the 906 households with one or more persons age 18 or over) for landline numbers and 557 persons (out of the 690 persons age 18 or over who answered) for mobile numbers. The valid response rates were 58% for landline numbers and 81% for mobile numbers.

 

 

 

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