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Cabinet support jumps 21 points, Sankei-FNN joint public opinion poll

By Chiba Tomoyuki


According to the joint public opinion poll conducted by the Sankei Shimbun and the Fuji News Network (FNN) on Oct. 9–10, a plurality of 63.2% of respondents said they support the new cabinet led by Kishida Fumio, which was launched on Oct.4. This represents a jump of about 21 percentage points from the previous survey conducted at the end of the Suga Yoshihide administration. The most frequently reason given for supporting the new cabinet, however, was “because there is no other good person” at about 35%. The Kishida administration has set sail amid passive public support.


The cabinet approval rating among LDP supporters increased by 23.1 points from the previous survey to reach 85.4%, while disapproval decreased by 25.7 points to hit 9.1%. The change in the prime minister has ended the trend where ruling party supporters stray from the cabinet. While 76.8% of LDP supporters said they are hopeful about the Kishida Cabinet, 20.7% said they are not. Thus there is a subtle difference between “cabinet support” and “optimism about the cabinet” among LDP supporters.


Some 45.7% of independents, who account for about 37% of all respondents, said they back the cabinet, an increase of 16.9 points from the previous survey. The disapproval rate among this group was 39.9%. Thus cabinet support exceeded disapproval among independents for the first time since January when the Sankei-FNN survey was restarted. Some 25.5% of supporters of the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan said they back the Kishida Cabinet.


Looking at the Cabinet approval rating by age group, 76.5% of those age 18 to 29 support the cabinet, followed by 63.7% of those in their 40s, 63.6% of those age 70 or over, 60.4% of those in their 50s, 59.0% of those in their 30s, and 56.3% of those in their 60s. There was no clear difference in cabinet support between men and women. (Abridged)


[Polling methodology: A total of 1,016 men and women, aged 18 and over, across the nation were surveyed. The nation was divided into 11 blocs corresponding to the Lower House proportional representation districts. The survey was conducted by placing telephone calls on a random digit dialing (RDD) basis until the calculated number of responses obtained from each bloc corresponded to that bloc’s relative population. A weighted adjustment was then performed for such variables as gender and age. Calls were placed to both landline and mobile numbers in the ratio of 4:6. This follow-up question was posed to respondents who gave an unclear answer to the question about Cabinet support: “Which is closer to your view?” The responses to the follow-up questions were added to the responses to the initial question. The survey was conducted on Oct. 9–10, 2021.]  

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