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POLITICS

Kyodo News first trend survey from Tokyo Shimbun

Questions & answers (%)

 

Q1: How interested are you in the upcoming Lower House election?

 

Very interested

23.5

Somewhat interested

46.1

Not very interested

23.7

Not interested at all

6.7

Don’t know (D/K) + No answer (N/A)

 

Q2: Which party’s candidates will you vote for in the single-seat constituency segment of the Lower House election?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

32.9

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

9.2

Komeito (Komeito)

2.7

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

3.8

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

3.0

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

0.5

Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi)

0.4

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

0.2

NHK Party (The Party Fighting against NHK in the Trial for Violating Article 72 of the Attorney Act) (NHK To [NHK to Saiban Shiteru To Bengoshiho 72-jo ihan de])

0.0

Other political parties or political groups

Independent candidates

0.4

There are no candidates that I want to vote for

5.8

Am still undecided

40.3

D/K+N/A

0.8

 

Q3: Which political party will you vote for in the proportional representation portion of the Lower House election?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

29.6

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

9.7

Komeito (Komeito)

4.7

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

4.8

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

3.9

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

0.7

Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi)

0.5

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

0.5

NHK Party (The Party Fighting against NHK in the Trial for Violating Article 72 of the Attorney Act) (NHK To [NHK to Saiban Shiteru To Bengoshiho 72-jo ihan de])

0.1

Other political parties or political groups

There is no political party that I want to vote for

4.8

Am still undecided

39.4

D/K+N/A

1.3

 

Q4: What issue will you prioritize the most in deciding how to vote in the upcoming election?

 

COVID-19 countermeasures

19.4

Economic policies

34.7

Nuclear power and energy policy

2.9

Pensions, medical care, and nursing care

16.5

Childrearing and measures to address the drop in the birthrate

7.8

Diplomacy and security

4.2

Politics and money scandals

6.5

Constitutional amendment

1.5

Regional revitalization

3.3

O/A

0.8

D/K+N/A

2.4

 

Q5: How do you think COVID-19 countermeasures and economic measures should be balanced going forward?

 

COVID-19 countermeasures should be prioritized

22.6

Generally speaking, COVID-19 countermeasures should be prioritized

37.5

Generally speaking, economic measures should be prioritized

26.7

Economic measures should be prioritized

11.8

D/K+N/A

1.4

 

Q6: “Rectification of disparities” is expected to be a key focus in the upcoming House of Representatives election. Which do you think should be prioritized in the government’s economic policy of “growth and wealth distribution”: growth or wealth distribution?

 

Growth should prioritized

20.4

Generally speaking, growth should be prioritized

36.8

Generally speaking, wealth distribution should be prioritized

24.4

Wealth distribution should be prioritized

11.9

D/K+N/A

6.5

 

Q7: Do you think that the Kishida administration should continue the policies of the Abe and Suga administrations or do you think he should change to new policies?

 

Continue the policies of the Abe and Suga administrations

26.7

Change to new policies

68.9

D/K+N/A

4.4

 

Q8: What would you consider the most desirable outcome of the upcoming House of Representatives election?

 

Ruling party seats exceed the number held by the opposition parties

36.3

The ruling parties and opposition forces are evenly matched

45.2

Opposition party seats exceed the number held by the ruling parties

13.9

D/K+N/A

4.6

 

Q9: Do you support the Kishida Cabinet?

 

Yes

55.9

No

32.8

D/K + N/A

11.3

 

Q10: Which political party do you support?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

49.1

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

10.4

Komeito (Komeito)

3.1

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

4.7

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

4.3

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

0.8

Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi)

0.7

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

0.8

NHK Party (The Party Fighting against NHK in the Trial for Violating Article 72 of the Attorney Act) (NHK To [NHK to Saiban Shiteru To Bengoshiho 72-jo ihan de])

0.4

Other political parties, groups

1.1

None of the above (NOTA)

18.8

D/K+N/A

5.8

 

Note: Figures are rounded off. “0.0” indicates that the figure was below 0.05%, and “–” denotes that no respondents gave that answer.

 

Trend survey on the Lower House election: The survey aims to probe changes in voter awareness regarding the Lower House election at certain intervals during the campaign, including the level of voter interest in the election and trends in public support for political parties. This nationwide public opinion survey is conducted by telephone a total of three times using the same basic questions. The same questions are used, but the respondents are different with each survey.

 

Polling methodology: The survey was conducted by telephone on a computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis. The first trend survey was conducted on Oct. 16–17 targeting voters across the nation. However, the survey excluded landline numbers in some areas of Fukushima Prefecture. The survey covered 792 randomly selected households with eligible voters nationwide [by landline phone], with responses collected from 628 people. A total of 1,654 people were accessed through their mobile phones, of which 629 responded.

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