Questions & answers (%)
(Figures in parentheses are the results of the last trend survey conducted Oct. 16–17, 2021.)
Q1: How interested are you in the upcoming Lower House election?
|
Very interested |
28.2 |
(23.5) |
|
Somewhat interested |
50.2 |
(46.1) |
|
Not very interested |
17.3 |
(23.7) |
|
Not interested at all |
4.3 |
(6.7) |
|
Don’t know (D/K) + No answer (N/A) |
— |
(–) |
Q2: Which party’s candidates will you vote for in the single-seat constituency segment of the Lower House election?
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto) |
33.3 |
(32.9) |
|
Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto) |
13.1 |
(9.2) |
|
Komeito (Komeito) |
2.7 |
(2.7) |
|
Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto) |
4.3 |
(3.8) |
|
Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai) |
3.2 |
(3.0) |
|
Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto) |
1.2 |
(0.5) |
|
Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi) |
0.7 |
(0.4) |
|
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) |
0.4 |
(0.2) |
|
NHK Party (The Party Fighting against NHK in the Trial for Violating Article 72 of the Attorney Act) (NHK To [NHK to Saiban Shiteru To Bengoshiho 72-jo ihan de]) |
0.5 |
(0.0) |
|
Other political parties or political groups |
0.1 |
(–) |
|
Independent candidates |
1.2 |
(0.4) |
|
There are no candidates that I want to vote for |
4.2 |
(5.8) |
|
Am still undecided |
34.3 |
(40.3) |
|
D/K+N/A |
0.8 |
(0.8) |
Q3: Which political party will you vote for in the proportional representation portion of the Lower House election?
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto) |
29.9 |
(29.6) |
|
Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto) |
11.6 |
(9.7) |
|
Komeito (Komeito) |
5.2 |
(4.7) |
|
Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto) |
4.8 |
(4.8) |
|
Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai) |
4.6 |
(3.9) |
|
Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto) |
1.1 |
(0.7) |
|
Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi) |
1.4 |
(0.5) |
|
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) |
0.6 |
(0.5) |
|
NHK Party (The Party Fighting against NHK in the Trial for Violating Article 72 of the Attorney Act) (NHK To [NHK to Saiban Shiteru To Bengoshiho 72-jo ihan de]) |
0.6 |
(0.1) |
|
Other political parties or political groups |
0.0 |
(–) |
|
There is no political party that I want to vote for |
3.8 |
(4.8) |
|
Am still undecided |
35.6 |
(39.4) |
|
D/K+N/A |
0.8 |
(1.3) |
Q4: What issue will you prioritize the most in deciding how to vote in the upcoming election?
|
COVID-19 countermeasures |
16.1 |
(19.4) |
|
Economic policies |
36.7 |
(34.7) |
|
Nuclear power and energy policy |
3.3 |
(2.9) |
|
Pensions, medical care, and nursing care |
15.7 |
(16.5) |
|
Childrearing and measures to address the drop in the birthrate |
8.6 |
(7.8) |
|
Diplomacy and security |
5.0 |
(4.2) |
|
Politics and money scandals |
5.5 |
(6.5) |
|
Constitutional amendment |
2.6 |
(1.5) |
|
Regional revitalization |
3.7 |
(3.3) |
|
O/A |
0.7 |
(0.8) |
|
D/K+N/A |
2.1 |
(2.4) |
Q5: It has been decided that the operating hour restrictions requested of bars and restaurants to fight COVID-19 will be lifted in Tokyo and Osaka Prefecture on Oct. 25. What do you think of the timing?
|
Appropriate |
55.3 |
|
|
Too soon |
30.2 |
|
|
Too late |
11.4 |
|
|
D/K+N/A |
3.1 |
|
Q6: Are you optimistic about Prime Minister Kishida Fumio’s economic measures?
|
Yes |
44.6 |
|
|
No |
48.2 |
|
|
D/K+N/A |
7.2 |
|
Q7: The CDPJ, the JCP, and other opposition parties are backing the same candidates in single-seat constituencies in the Lower House election. Do you approve of this united front among the opposition parties?
|
Yes |
44.7 |
|
|
|
No |
48.5 |
|
|
|
D/K+N/A |
6.8 |
|
|
Q8: What would you consider the most desirable outcome of the upcoming House of Representatives election?
|
Ruling party seats exceed the number held by the opposition parties |
34.6 |
(36.3) |
|
The ruling parties and opposition forces are evenly matched |
49.4 |
(45.2) |
|
Opposition party seats exceed the number held by the ruling parties |
11.4 |
(13.9) |
|
D/K+N/A |
4.6 |
(4.6) |
Q9: Do you support the Kishida Cabinet?
|
Yes |
55.9 |
(55.9) |
|
No |
35.9 |
(32.8) |
|
D/K + N/A |
8.2 |
(11.3) |
Q10: Which political party do you support?
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto) |
44.7 |
(49.1) |
|
Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto) |
12.4 |
(10.4) |
|
Komeito (Komeito) |
4.8 |
(3.1) |
|
Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto) |
4.7 |
(4.7) |
|
Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai) |
5.1 |
(4.3) |
|
Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto) |
2.5 |
(0.8) |
|
Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi) |
2.3 |
(0.7) |
|
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) |
0.7 |
(0.8) |
|
NHK Party (The Party Fighting against NHK in the Trial for Violating Article 72 of the Attorney Act) (NHK To [NHK to Saiban Shiteru To Bengoshiho 72-jo ihan de]) |
0.9 |
(0.4) |
|
Other political parties, groups |
0.8 |
(1.1) |
|
None of the above (NOTA) |
16.6 |
(18.8) |
|
D/K+N/A |
4.5 |
(5.8) |
Note: Figures are rounded off. “0.0” indicates that the figure was below 0.05%, and “–” denotes that no respondents gave that answer.
Trend survey on the Lower House election: The survey aims to probe changes in voter awareness regarding the Lower House election at certain intervals during the campaign, including the level of voter interest in the election and trends in public support for political parties. This nationwide public opinion survey is conducted by telephone a total of three times using the same basic questions. The same questions are used, but the respondents are different with each survey.
Polling methodology: The second trend survey was conducted by telephone on a computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis on Oct. 23–24 targeting voters across the nation. However, the survey excluded landline numbers in some areas of Fukushima Prefecture. The survey covered 754 randomly selected households with eligible voters nationwide [by landline phone], with responses collected from 630 people. A total of 1,926 people were accessed through their mobile phones, of which 627 responded.
[The first survey was conducted by telephone on a computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis. The first trend survey was conducted on Oct. 16–17 targeting voters across the nation. However, the survey excluded landline numbers in some areas of Fukushima Prefecture. The survey covered 792 randomly selected households with eligible voters nationwide [by landline phone], with responses collected from 628 people. A total of 1,654 people were accessed through their mobile phones, of which 629 responded.]
