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POLITICS > Elections

Papers project Nago mayoral election to be neck-and-neck

  • January 18, 2022
  • , Asahi, Yomiuri
  • JMH Summary

Asahi reported on its projections for the Nago mayoral election to be held on Jan. 23 based on the results of its telephone survey of eligible voters in the city that was conducted jointly with Ryukyu Asahi Broadcasting on Sunday and Monday and its own field research in the municipality. The paper wrote that incumbent Mayor Toguchi, who is backed by the Kishida administration, and former city assembly member Kishimoto, who opposes the Futenma base’s relocation to Nago, appear to be engaged in a neck-and-neck race, adding, however, that the results of the election are difficult to predict because about 20% of the respondents said they had not yet decided whom they will vote for.


Among the respondents who have decided whom to vote for, about 90% of LDP supporters and most Komeito supporters expressed their intention to vote for Toguchi. More than 60% of male respondents expressed their support for Toguchi, and support for him is strong among voters in their 30s and younger. Meanwhile, Kishimoto has obtained support from most supporters of the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, the Japanese Communist Party, Reiwa Shinsengumi, and the Social Democratic Party. About 60% of non-affiliated voters and 60% of female respondents expressed their support for Kishimoto, and support for him is strong among voters in their 70s and older.


The survey also asked for the respondents’ views about U.S. base issues. Some 54% expressed opposition to the Futenma base’s relocation to Nago, down from the 63% marked in 2018 when the last mayoral election was held. Some 24%, up from 20%, expressed support for the Henoko plan. Asked which of four issues they place importance on in deciding whom to vote for, 50% selected local development, 30% picked Futenma relocation, 9% chose the political parties and organizations of the candidates, and 6% selected the candidates’ career and achievements. The number of respondents who attached importance to local development increased from 23% in 2104 and 39% in 2018, and 55% of non-affiliated voters selected local development as most important for them. The number of voters who attached importance to Futenma relocation decreased from 56% in 2014 and 41% in 2018. In the latest survey, 59% supported Governor Tamaki, while 23% did not.


Yomiuri reported on similar projections for the mayoral election, saying the two candidates are apparently engaged in a tight race. The paper conducted a telephone survey of Nago voters on Sunday and Monday. On the Futenma Air Station’s relocation to Nago that has been agreed upon between the governments of the United States and Japan, 63% of the respondents said the base functions should be moved out of Okinawa, while 22% said the relocation should move forward as agreed upon. In a multiple-choice question, the respondents were asked what issues should be discussed in the election campaign. 80% selected medical care for the elderly and the improvement of the welfare system, 78% picked education and support for families raising children, and 65% chose Futenma relocation. Some 62% supported Governor Tamaki, and 41% approved of the Kishida cabinet.

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