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54% determined to vote in Upper House election, NHK poll

NHK’s latest poll shows 54 percent of respondents definitely plan to vote in the Upper House election on July 10. The figure is up 5 percentage points from the same period in the run-up to the previous election in 2019.

 

NHK conducted the telephone survey over the weekend. More than 2,000 people responded.

 

The approval rate for Prime Minister Kishida Fumio’s Cabinet fell by 4 points from last week to 55 percent. The disapproval rate rose by 2 points to 25 percent.

 

Asked if they will vote, 54 percent said they will definitely vote and 27 percent said they intend to vote, while 10 percent were undecided and 5 percent said they will not vote.

 

Asked about their level of interest in the election, 18 percent said they are very interested and 47 percent said they are interested to some extent. But 22 percent are not very interested and 7 percent have no interest at all.

 

Questioned over their expected outcome of the election, 24 percent said they want the governing coalition to gain more seats and 27 percent said they hope the opposition camp will do so, while 42 percent said they cannot say either way.

 

Asked about the government’s measures to tackle surging prices, 3 percent said they evaluate them very highly and 32 percent said they do so to some extent. But 40 percent said they don’t evaluate them highly and 16 percent said they don’t at all.

 

The government plans to set up an infectious diseases management agency under the Cabinet Secretariat.

 

Asked about their expectation for the plan, 6 percent said it’s very high and 48 percent said it’s relatively high, while 31 percent said it’s little and 8 percent responded they have no expectation at all.

 

Political party support rates (%)

 

Jan-22

Feb-22

Mar-22

Apr-22

May-22

Jun-22

First trend survey

 

 

Liberal Democratic Party (LDP or Jiminto)

41.1

41.5

38.4

38.9

39.8

40.1

38.4

 

 

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

5.4

7.3

5.9

5.2

5.0

5.9

5.1

 

 

Komeito (Komeito)

2.8

3.5

3.8

3.0

2.7

2.9

4.3

 

 

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

5.8

5.2

4.5

3.6

3.5

4.0

3.7

 

 

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.5

1.2

1.3

0.8

 

 

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

2.6

2.2

2.3

2.5

2.7

2.6

2.7

 

 

Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi)

0.3

0.6

0.6

0.2

0.5

0.8

0.4

 

 

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

0.2

0.3

0.7

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.5

 

 

NHK Party (NHK To)

0.1

0.2

0.1

0.3

0.3

 

 

None of the above

34.0

31.0

35.5

36.7

36.2

33.1

34.1

 

 

Don’t know + No answer

6.3

6.9

7.0

7.5

7.6

8.1

8.8

 

 

 

Polling methodology

 

Sample: Men and women aged 18 or over nationwide.

Method: Landline and mobile telephones (random digit dialing [RDD])

 

 

Dates of poll

No. of pollees

No. of valid responses

Valid response rate (%)

January 2022

Jan. 8–10, 2022

2,150

1,219

57

February 2022

Feb. 11–13, 2022

2,122

1,240

58

March 2022

March 11–13, 2022

2,202

1,223

56

April 2022

April 8–10, 2022

2,271

1,235

54

May 2022

May 6–8, 2022

2,191

1,214

55

June 2022

June 10–12, 2022

3,661

1,994

55%

June 2022 – trend survey

June 17–19, 2022

3,711

2,035

55%

 

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