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POLITICS

Kyodo News second trend survey from Tokyo Shimbun

Questions & answers (%)

(Figures in parentheses are the results of the first trend survey conducted June 18–19, 2022.)

 

Q1: How interested are you in the upcoming Upper House election?

 

Very interested

20.6

(18.3)

Somewhat interested

48.7

(46.6)

Not very interested

24.0

(28.1)

Not interested at all

6.5

(7.0)

Don’t know (D/K) + No answer (N/A)

0.2

(0.0)

 

Q2: Upper House elections have a single-seat constituency segment and a proportional representation segment. Which political party/group’s candidates will you vote for in the single-seat constituency segment of the Upper House election?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

31.1

(31.2)

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

8.4

(7.3)

Komeito (Komeito)

5.9

(4.6)

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

4.5

(6.0)

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

3.8

(3.0)

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

2.1

(1.2)

Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi)

1.1

(1.1)

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

0.3

(0.8)

NHK Party (NHK To)

0.5

(0.8)

Other political parties or political groups

1.3

(1.1)

Independent candidates

0.5

(1.1)

There are no candidates that I want to vote for

3.8

(5.8)

Am still undecided

35.2

(34.7)

D/K+N/A

1.5

(1.3)

 

Q3: Which political party or which political party/group’s candidates will you vote for in the proportional representation portion of the Upper House election?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

28.3

(27.3)

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

8.2

(7.0)

Komeito (Komeito)

7.2

(6.2)

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

6.1

(7.7)

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

4.1

(3.7)

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

1.8

(1.4)

Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi)

1.3

(1.8)

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

0.8

(0.8)

NHK Party (NHK To)

0.8

(1.0)

Other political parties or political groups

1.0

(1.4)

There is no political party that I want to vote for

4.4

(6.0)

Am still undecided

34.0

(34.2)

D/K+N/A

2.0

(1.5)

 

Q4: What issue will you prioritize the most in deciding how to vote in the upcoming election?

 

COVID-19 countermeasures

5.2

(5.6)

Economic policies and policies to address rising commodity prices

41.8

(42.0)

Nuclear power and energy policy

6.0

(4.1)

Pensions, medical care, and nursing care

17.6

(16.2)

Childrearing support and measures to address the drop in the birthrate

8.5

(10.6)

Diplomacy and security

7.2

(8.2)

Politics and money scandals

4.3

(3.7)

Constitutional amendment

3.3

(3.0)

Regional revitalization

2.9

(3.0)

O/A

1.2

(1.3)

D/K+N/A

2.0

(2.3)

 

Q5: Do you think Prime Minister Kishida Fumio is taking adequate measures to address rising prices?

 

Yes

15.3

(14.2)

No

79.8

(79.6)

D/K+N/A

4.9

(6.2)

 

Q6: Do you approve of the government’s handling of COVID-19 so far?

 

Yes

65.0

(63.7)

No

32.2

(32.9)

D/K+N/A

2.8

(3.4)

 

Q7: Traditionally, Japan’s defense expenditures have been held at 1.0% of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP). How do you think the nation’s defense budget should be handled going forward?

 

Defense spending should be increased to over 2%

13.7

(15.9)

Defense spending should be increased to a maximum of 2%

34.1

(37.2)

Defense spending should be continued at the current level

36.3

(31.5)

Defense spending should be decreased

9.5

(7.6)

D/K+N/A

6.4

(7.8)

 

Q8: Are you in favor of or opposed to constitutional amendment under Prime Minister Kishida?

 

In favor

44.8

(47.5)

Opposed

44.7

(39.7)

D/K+N/A

10.5

(12.8)

 

Q9: What would you consider the most desirable outcome of the upcoming House of Councillors election?

 

Ruling party seats exceed the number held by the opposition parties

36.6

(33.8)

The ruling parties and opposition forces are evenly matched

46.4

(51.3)

Opposition party seats exceed the number held by the ruling parties

11.6

(8.9)

D/K+N/A

5.4

(6.0)

 

Q10: Do you support the Kishida Cabinet?

 

Yes

57.7

(57.6)

No

35.8

(34.0)

D/K + N/A

6.5

(8.4)

 

Q11: Which political party do you support?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

43.1

(42.5)

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

8.9

(8.7)

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

7.0

(9.6)

Komeito (Komeito)

7.3

(5.7)

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

2.0

(2.3)

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

4.3

(4.0)

Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi)

1.7

(2.1)

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

0.7

(0.8)

NHK Party (NHK To)

0.7

(0.7)

Other political parties, groups

2.5

(1.8)

None of the above (NOTA)

18.1

(18.5)

D/K+N/A

3.7

(3.3)

 

Q12: Which political party did you vote for in the proportional representation segment of last October’s Lower House election?

 

Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP or Jiminto)

40.6

(42.1)

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ or Rikken Minshuto)

11.7

(12.5)

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party) (Nippon Ishin no Kai)

7.8

(10.0)

Komeito (Komeito)

8.5

(6.2)

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP or Kokumin Minshuto)

1.6

(1.6)

Japanese Communist Party (JCP or Kyosanto)

6.0

(4.6)

Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa Shinsengumi)

1.9

(1.7)

Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto)

1.1

(1.2)

NHK Party (NHK To)

0.9

(0.7)

Other political parties, groups

0.7

(0.9)

I did not vote + D/K + N/A

19.2

(18.5)

 

Note: Figures are rounded off. “0.0” indicates that the figure was below 0.05%, and “–” denotes that no respondents gave that answer.

 

Trend survey on the Upper House election: The survey aims to probe changes in voter awareness regarding the Upper House election at certain intervals during the campaign, including the level of voter interest in the election and trends in public support for political parties. This nationwide public opinion survey is conducted by telephone a total of three times using the same basic questions. The same questions are used, but the respondents are different with each survey.

 

Polling methodology: The survey was conducted by telephone on a computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis. The second trend survey was conducted on June 26–28, 2022, targeting voters across the nation. However, the survey excluded landline numbers in some areas of Fukushima Prefecture. The survey covered 620 randomly selected households with eligible voters nationwide [by landline phone], with responses collected from 505 people. A total of 2,210 people were accessed through their mobile phones, of which 742 responded. The first trend survey was conducted on June 18–19, 2022.

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